Grade 10 Chapter 5: Probability

Explore the world of chance and likelihood with interactive examples and practice problems.

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Step-by-Step Learning

Understand the fundamental concepts of probability and how to calculate it.

Example 1: Basic Probability Concepts

Learn about experiments, outcomes, sample space, and events.

Experiment: An action or process with an uncertain result (e.g., tossing a coin, rolling a die).
Outcome: A single possible result of an experiment (e.g., getting 'Heads', rolling a '4').
Sample Space (S): The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment (e.g., for a coin toss, S = {Heads, Tails}).
Event (E): A specific outcome or a set of outcomes from the sample space that we are interested in (e.g., getting an even number when rolling a die, E = {2, 4, 6}).
Experiment: Rolling a Die Sample Space (S): {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} Example Event (E): Getting an even number {2, 4, 6} Outcome: e.g., rolling a '3'

Example 2: Calculating Probability of a Single Event

How to calculate the probability of an event occurring. Example: Probability of rolling a '3' on a fair six-sided die.

Formula: The probability of an event E, denoted P(E), is calculated as:
P(E) = (Number of favorable outcomes for E) / (Total number of possible outcomes in S)
Step 1: Identify the total number of possible outcomes (size of sample space). For a fair die, S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, so Total Outcomes = 6.
Step 2: Identify the number of favorable outcomes for the event. Event E = rolling a '3'. There is only one '3' on the die. So, Favorable Outcomes = 1.
Step 3: Calculate the probability. P(rolling a '3') = 1 / 6.
Note: Probability values always range from 0 (impossible event) to 1 (certain event).
P(E) = Favorable / Total Event E: Rolling a '3' on a die Favorable Outcomes: {3} (Count = 1) 3 Total Outcomes (S): {1,2,3,4,5,6} (Count = 6) P(E) = 1 / 6

Example 3: Probability of 'Not' an Event (Complement)

Understand complementary events. Example: If P(rain) = 0.3, what is P(not rain)?

Complementary Event: The complement of an event E, denoted E' or Ec (or "not E"), consists of all outcomes in the sample space that are not in E.
Formula: The sum of the probability of an event and its complement is always 1. So, P(E) + P(not E) = 1.
Therefore: P(not E) = 1 - P(E).
Example: Given P(rain) = 0.3.
P(not rain) = 1 - P(rain) = 1 - 0.3 = 0.7.
Complement: P(not E) = 1 - P(E) P(E) P(not E) P(E) + P(not E) = 1

Example 4: Independent vs. Dependent Events (Introduction)

Briefly explain the difference between independent and dependent events.

Independent Events: Two events are independent if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other event occurring.
Example: Tossing a coin twice. The outcome of the first toss does not affect the outcome of the second toss. P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B) for independent events.
Dependent Events: Two events are dependent if the occurrence of one event changes the probability of the other event occurring.
Example: Drawing two cards from a deck without replacement. The outcome of the first draw affects the probabilities for the second draw. P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B|A) for dependent events (where P(B|A) is the conditional probability of B given A).
Types of Events Independent Events H/T H/T Coin Toss 1 & Coin Toss 2 Outcome of 1st does NOT affect 2nd Dependent Events Draw 2 cards (no replacement) 1st draw AFFECTS 2nd draw Deck changes

Practice Mode

Enter a simple probability question to see its calculation.

Note: This basic solver can handle simple questions like "Probability of getting a 5 on a die roll" or "P(Heads) on a coin toss". It understands keywords like 'die', 'coin', 'heads', 'tails', specific numbers on a die, or simple fractions like '1/6'.

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